Increased DRAM costs to increase smartphone BoM (Bill of Materials) by up to 25 percent, resulting in lowered shipments

DRAM Deal Talks Get Tough: Memory Makers Lock in Higher Prices to Avoid Losing Contracts

Memory suppliers are rewriting the rulebook for how DRAM contracts work, and it’s happening because prices are moving too fast for the old system to keep up. In the middle of a global DRAM supply crunch, major manufacturers such as Samsung, SK hynix, and Micron are prioritizing one core goal: extracting maximum profit from every wafer they can ship.

Traditionally, large buyers relied on long-term agreements (LTAs) to secure DRAM supply. These deals were commonly set up for around a year, with pricing typically reviewed and adjusted on a quarterly schedule. That structure made sense when DRAM pricing shifted gradually and contracts could reasonably “lock in” terms without huge surprises.

But today’s DRAM market doesn’t behave like that anymore. Prices can swing much more quickly, with changes showing up on daily and weekly timelines rather than over months. When spot prices jump rapidly, a long contract with fixed or slow-moving price adjustments can leave suppliers underpaid compared to what they could earn selling into the current market. As a result, the classic LTA pricing model has become less attractive for memory makers during a tight supply environment.

To address this, memory suppliers are increasingly pushing what’s being described as “post-settlement” terms. In simple terms, the buyer may sign a short contract that lasts only a few weeks, but the final amount paid can be adjusted after the fact to reflect market pricing changes during the contract period. If DRAM prices rise sharply while the agreement is active, the customer may end up paying the difference at the end of the period rather than benefiting from a locked-in rate.

And for anyone wondering whether buyers could benefit if prices suddenly fell, the current expectation from suppliers is that the broader price trend isn’t likely to cool off soon. With demand continuing to surge, especially from AI-driven infrastructure expansion, suppliers appear confident enough to structure contracts around the assumption that pricing pressure will remain upward.

At the same time, many US-based tech companies are reportedly rushing to secure LTAs as they compete for guaranteed DRAM supply. In this environment, the scramble isn’t just about signing quickly—it’s about who represents the most profitable customer for the memory manufacturers. With AI servers and data center growth consuming massive amounts of memory, the DRAM market is increasingly shaped by urgency, limited supply, and aggressive contract strategies designed to keep suppliers in control of pricing.